BC Election 2009 » Links http://bc2009.com The race for Victoria Thu, 24 Sep 2009 20:55:15 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.9.2 en hourly 1 Election insights from Bernard http://bc2009.com/2009/05/13/election-insights-from-bernard/ http://bc2009.com/2009/05/13/election-insights-from-bernard/#comments Wed, 13 May 2009 20:28:37 +0000 Sacha Peter http://bc2009.com/?p=2689 Bernard Schulmann has a lot of interesting insight on the 2009 election, including his review of the election, getting lots of votes and still losing (in addition to Vancouver Island being ripped off in terms of seat count vs. the number of voters).

Hopefully you’re already reading him.

Also, we are both looking to fine tune our performances in terms of predicting future election outcomes!

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]]> http://bc2009.com/2009/05/13/election-insights-from-bernard/feed/ 3 CKNW Radio Debate Archive – April 23, 2009 http://bc2009.com/2009/04/26/cknw-radio-debate-archive-april-23-2009/ http://bc2009.com/2009/04/26/cknw-radio-debate-archive-april-23-2009/#comments Mon, 27 Apr 2009 04:54:26 +0000 Sacha Peter http://bc2009.com/?p=2357 I have archived the two hours of radio debate that occurred on CKNW on Thursday, April 23, 2009.

I would have preferred to have it in a file format that is a little more internet-friendly, but this should open up in Windows Media Player.

8am to 9am on CKNW – 9 megabytes
9am to 10am on CKNW – 9 megabytes

Note the debate started at 8:30am, so fast forward half-way through the first file to start the debate.

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]]> http://bc2009.com/2009/04/26/cknw-radio-debate-archive-april-23-2009/feed/ 2 Globe and Mail on the BC Election http://bc2009.com/2009/04/17/globe-and-mail-on-the-bc-election/ http://bc2009.com/2009/04/17/globe-and-mail-on-the-bc-election/#comments Fri, 17 Apr 2009 09:11:28 +0000 Sacha Peter http://bc2009.com/?p=2056 The Globe and Mail has been keeping a BC Election blog handy, and it has made for fun reading. You may wish to put them on your reading list.

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]]> http://bc2009.com/2009/04/17/globe-and-mail-on-the-bc-election/feed/ 0 An interesting anecdote on polling http://bc2009.com/2009/04/14/an-interesting-anecdote-on-polling/ http://bc2009.com/2009/04/14/an-interesting-anecdote-on-polling/#comments Wed, 15 Apr 2009 06:09:53 +0000 Sacha Peter http://bc2009.com/?p=1910 Frances Bula has some remarks on a Harris-Decima poll that she had to endure. It was obvious by her transcription that they tried to stuff a bunch of surveys into one phone call, and just could be the reason why phone-based polling may be increasingly unreliable.

If asked, I always tell pollsters that I am a full supporter of the Marijuana Party. Since they are not running too many candidates this election, I may have to change my preference either to the Marxist-Leninists or the Sex Party. Tough decision.

On a more serious note, my guess is that anybody that follows politics is very likely a contaminated sample for pollsters.

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]]> http://bc2009.com/2009/04/14/an-interesting-anecdote-on-polling/feed/ 0 2009 Candidates – Specific Party Lists http://bc2009.com/2009/03/04/2009-candidates-specific-party-lists/ http://bc2009.com/2009/03/04/2009-candidates-specific-party-lists/#comments Thu, 05 Mar 2009 00:33:07 +0000 Sacha Peter http://bc2009.com/?p=1262 The party websites have put up their own candidate lists (finally). Here are direct links, in descending order of the number of candidates:

BC Liberals – http://www.bcliberals.com/EN/2009_candidates/
BC NDP – http://www.bcndp.ca/candidates
BC Greens – http://www.greenparty.bc.ca/candidates
BC Refederation – http://www.refedbc.com/2009/page5/page5.html
BC Conservatives – http://www.conservativesbc.com/CANDIND.htm
The Sex Party – http://www.thesexparty.ca/news/feb-2009-three-candidates-confirmed

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]]> http://bc2009.com/2009/03/04/2009-candidates-specific-party-lists/feed/ 0 Pundit’s guide to the BC Election? http://bc2009.com/2009/02/26/pundits-guide-to-the-bc-election/ http://bc2009.com/2009/02/26/pundits-guide-to-the-bc-election/#comments Thu, 26 Feb 2009 08:38:51 +0000 Sacha Peter http://bc2009.com/?p=1230 Alice Funke runs the Pundit’s Guide to Canadian Federal Elections, a very good (and truly non-partisan) resource for those wanting to analyze all sorts of information relating to federal politics. She’s got good database skills which enable to her to seamlessly project political data (voting results, campaign expenses, etc.) onto the website for all to see.

She gave me a plug, so I will give one back to her here – her project is excellent.

I will say that my approach has been somewhat less systematic than hers has been – probably because my database-to-web skills aren’t where I would like them to be. Also, when it comes to analyzing candidate expense returns, I would love to do it historically, but it is a painfully manual process to extract them from Elections BC and read them – they also compress their PDF files to a resolution that makes your eyes feel like they’ve been poked with an cattle prod if you read the documents for too long.

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]]> http://bc2009.com/2009/02/26/pundits-guide-to-the-bc-election/feed/ 1 Praying for government http://bc2009.com/2009/02/04/praying-for-government/ http://bc2009.com/2009/02/04/praying-for-government/#comments Wed, 04 Feb 2009 21:33:42 +0000 Sacha Peter http://bc2009.com/?p=1038 In one of the more unusually themed sites for BC Politics, we have PrayBC which delivers online prayers for BC politicians.

If this ends up delivering better government for us, I’ll take it!

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]]> http://bc2009.com/2009/02/04/praying-for-government/feed/ 0 Prediction competitions http://bc2009.com/2009/01/21/prediction-competitions/ http://bc2009.com/2009/01/21/prediction-competitions/#comments Wed, 21 Jan 2009 20:31:46 +0000 Sacha Peter http://bc2009.com/?p=1015 There are two benchmark sites that I will be using that I will consider my primary competition with respect to predicting the outcome of this election.

One is Milton Chan’s ElectionPrediction.org – he predicted 68 of 79 seats in the last provincial election.

The other site is the UBC Election Stock Market, which will open up on March 12, 2009.

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