Comments on: BC Conservative Party statistics

By: SVG

SVG — Wed, 03 Jun 2009 13:52:51 +0000

Sorry for my mistake on Cardoso and vote totals. I think I got mixed up with his percent total (20% of the vote in his riding)

By: Sacha Peter

Sacha Peter — Tue, 02 Jun 2009 18:26:54 +0000

Cardoso got about 3,600 votes, not 10,000.

BC Conservatives minus Cardoso would be 6.81%, compared to 7.32% with him.

But you are right with respect to the candidate. One thing the BC Liberal party excels at is that they are very active when it comes to recruiting electable candidates. I don’t think the NDP appreciated it when they put in their ‘affirmative action’ policy which really hurt them in a lot of winnable seats. Better candidate recruitment might have even saved them a few seats, enough to make the BC Liberals’ majority government a miserable majority for them (i.e. if the election result was BCL/NDP/IND 43/41/1, you have to keep everybody close to the legislature in case if you have votes in committee of the whole… no day-time excursions for the Premier!).

A real simple example is that there is no way the NDP would have won Burnaby-Deer Lake without Kathy Corrigan.

By: Mike

Mike — Tue, 02 Jun 2009 17:34:46 +0000

SSO, If they ran a full slate (of reasonable candidates), had a credible leader, a more mainstream centre-right policy, and a spot on the debate, they would be the BC Liberal party.

By: SVG

SVG — Tue, 02 Jun 2009 16:16:21 +0000

I also am glad you noted Joe Cardoso. About 1/3 of the BC Conservative vote (10,000 votes) was from Cardoso alone, and that was because of him, not the Conservative brand name. That whole situation could have been avoided if the BC Liberals didn’t dump him (as he was the liberal candidate before) for petty reasons. Again, I would say his high amount of vote was support him, not the party. If that situation had hadn’t have happened, and the Conservatives didn’t run a candidate in Boundary-Similkameen (and Cardoso was the liberal candidate), the BC Cons vote would be lower in that riding. What is the average BC Conservative percentage of the vote without Boundary-Similkameen included??

By: Splendor Sine Occasu

Splendor Sine Occasu — Tue, 02 Jun 2009 03:15:31 +0000

Thanks for the analysis.

I wonder how much of a threat they would be if they ran a full slate, had a credible leader, a more mainstream centre-right policy, and a spot on the debate?