BC Election 2009

The race for Victoria

 
 

    Home  
  • About
  • Candidates
  • Platforms
  • Polls
  • Referendum
  • Results
  • Ridings
  • Target Seats
  •   

  • Electoral Districts

  • Recent Comments

    • yuppers on BC Conservative infighting continues
    • Taylor Verrall on Bill Tieleman on NDP strategic error on carbon tax
    • Taylor Verrall on BC Conservative infighting continues
    • True Conservative on BC Conservative infighting continues
    • Glass on Bill Tieleman on NDP strategic error on carbon tax
    • Dietz on Bill Tieleman on NDP strategic error on carbon tax
    • Splendor Sine Occasu on Bill Tieleman on NDP strategic error on carbon tax
    • brg on Bill Tieleman on NDP strategic error on carbon tax
    • shepsil on Absentee ballot performance
    • Nick J Boragina on Vicki Huntington – Elected – Analysis
    • Mike on Vicki Huntington – Elected – Analysis
    • Taylor Verrall on Vicki Huntington – Elected – Analysis
  • Archives

    • June 2009 (6)
    • May 2009 (61)
    • April 2009 (93)
    • March 2009 (47)
    • February 2009 (41)
    • January 2009 (29)
    • December 2008 (11)
    • November 2008 (16)
    • October 2008 (17)
    • September 2008 (18)
    • August 2008 (22)
    • July 2008 (14)
    • June 2008 (15)
    • May 2008 (10)
    • April 2008 (5)
    • March 2008 (7)
    • February 2008 (7)
    • January 2008 (3)
  • Categories

    • Analysis (96)
    • By-Election (31)
    • Irrelevant and Irreverent (18)
    • Issues (53)
      • Economy (17)
      • Environment (7)
      • First Nations (1)
      • Healthcare (1)
      • Justice (5)
      • Olympics (5)
      • Scandal (12)
      • Transportation (8)
    • Legislature (33)
    • Links (8)
    • News (83)
    • Parties (93)
      • BC Greens (15)
      • BC Liberals (36)
      • NDP (31)
      • Other Parties (12)
    • Polls (43)
    • Predictions (6)
    • Referendum (15)
  • Admin

    • Log in
    • Entries RSS
    • Comments RSS
    • WordPress.org

June 19, 2008 – Mustel Poll

Posted June 26, 2008 by Sacha Peter - Link
Category: Polls Comments (0)

Mustel Group released the results of a 750 person poll (18% undecided) indicating a “shock result” – that fuel price is the number one priority for British Columbians (beyond healthcare, economy, environment, etc.).

The poll can be accessed here, or on Mustel’s website.

In addition to the issues poll, they also asked voter intentions. The results were the following:

BC Liberal 47%
NDP 37%
Green 14%

While the NDP has jumped a few percentage points over the previous quarter’s survey, it still is within the statistical error boundary of previous polling. While the BC Liberals should be concerned about the onslaught of the Carbon Tax assault (which is obviously reflective of today’s poll) the real question will be whether it will be the top issue in May of 2009.

As I have stated before, the Green party is likely to lose support on election day to the NDP, which puts the NDP at around 42%. The BC Liberals, based on these poll results, would not have to worry about losing a majority in the next election. However, if the NDP numbers start creeping up to the 40-42% range (in polls, not the actual election result), this is when the election becomes very competitive because the NDP have a more efficient vote distribution across the province – the BC Liberals’ popular support, where they have it, is heavily concentrated.

Recall that in the 2005 election, the BC Liberals had 45.8% provincial support, while the NDP had 41.5% provincial support. If the NDP received 2.5% more popular support province-wide, it would have been possible for them to form government.

I have updated the Poll Chart to reflect this new data.

Leave a comment

Please note the Comments Policy before posting - keep it on-topic!

Comments will be sent to the moderation queue.

More articles
Previous: Pre-Election cabinet shuffle
Next: Poll – Angus Reid on Carbon Taxes

About BC2009.COM - Comments Policy